Refinance Break‑Even (2025): Points vs. Lender Credits — Calculator, Cases & CRM Playbook

TL;DR: Buying points lowers your rate and payment but costs cash now. Taking a lender credit raises your rate but cuts cash to close. Use break‑even math to see which wins for your horizon and liquidity. Calculator + case studies below.

Contents

  1. Live Break‑Even Calculator
  2. Primer: What Points & Credits Actually Do
  3. The Math: Payments, Break‑Even, IRR (cash vs rolled‑in)
  4. Real‑Number Case Studies
  5. How‑To: Decide in 7 Practical Steps
  6. Negotiation Scripts & Guardrails
  7. CRM Playbook (Approval & Pricing)
  8. FAQ (10)

Live Break‑Even Calculator

Loan amount ($)Term (years)Rate A — with points (%)Rate B — with credit (%)Points A ($ paid for points)Credit B ($ lender credit)Finance points in A? (0/1)Calculate

Primer: What Points & Credits Actually Do

Discount points are prepaid interest; 1 point = 1% of the loan amount. You pay now to buy a lower rate. Lender credits do the opposite: accept a slightly higher rate and receive a dollar credit that reduces cash to close. Break‑even math compares the incremental upfront to the incremental monthly savings.

  • Use identical loan type/term/lock across quotes; otherwise math lies.
  • Exclude prepaids/escrows from break‑even; they don’t change with rate choice.
  • Watch LTV/MI tiers—rolling points into principal can push you into worse pricing.

The Math: Payments, Break‑Even, IRR (cash vs rolled‑in)

Payment formula (=PMT(R/12, N, -L)) gives monthly principal & interest. Two paths:

  1. Cash path — pay points in cash. Incremental upfront = points_A + credit_B; savings = P&I_B − P&I_A. Break‑even months = upfront ÷ savings.
  2. Rolled‑in path — finance points; principal rises, savings shrink. Upfront difference uses actual cash to close (often favors the credit option initially).

Optional: compute a quick annualized return on points with =RATE(H, ΔPmt, -ΔUpfront)*12 where H is your expected holding months.

Real‑Number Case Studies

ScenarioLoanRatesUpfront (Δ)Monthly ΔBreak‑Even
Cash points (long horizon)$300,000 / 30yA: 6.250% (1.0 pt) vs B: 6.625% (0.25% credit)$3,000 + $750 = $3,750≈ $73.78≈ 51 months
Points financed (credit on B)$300,000 / 30yA: 6.250% (1.0 pt, financed) vs B: 6.625% (+$750 credit)$0 − (−$750) = $750≈ $55.31≈ 14 months
Short horizon buyer$420,000 / 30yA: 5.875% (0.75 pt) vs B: 6.125% (0.125% credit)≈ $3,150 + $525≈ $96≈ 38 months → credits win if moving in ≤ 3y

If you plan to prepay principal aggressively, the value of points shrinks because you’d be reducing interest naturally.

How‑To: Decide in 7 Practical Steps

  1. Collect two same‑day Loan Estimates: (A) lower rate with points, (B) higher rate with credit.
  2. Run the calculator (cash & rolled‑in versions).
  3. Stress‑test: +0.25% rate and +$1,000 fees; ensure decision still holds.
  4. Check liquidity: emergency fund must remain intact after closing.
  5. Verify LTV/MI tiers if financing points; don’t cross 80% without modeling MI impact.
  6. Ask for float‑down policy and lock‑extension fees in writing.
  7. Pick, lock, and re‑price once before signing if market improved.

Negotiation Scripts & Guardrails

  • Full LE request: “Please send itemized Loan Estimates for both options today. I compare by APR, total cash to close, and break‑even months.”
  • Points sanity check: “Quote 0‑point and 1‑point. What rate delta do I get per point today?”
  • Float‑down: “If pricing improves during my lock, what are the eligibility triggers and fees to float down?”
  • Extension control: “Confirm lock extension costs per 7/15 days—I’ll schedule closing to avoid them.”
  • Guardrails: keep emergency fund; don’t finance points that push you into worse LTV/MI; avoid prepayment penalties.

CRM Playbook (Approval & Pricing)

  1. Data completeness: submit full docs at once (income, assets, ID). Partial files get deprioritized in underwriting.
  2. Momentum signal: schedule appraisal immediately; deals with milestones move faster and sometimes price better.
  3. Competitive anchor: get 2–3 quotes same day; many lenders match or offset fees to win.
  4. Credit hygiene: keep utilization low; no new inquiries until closing.
  5. Weekly cadence: short email: “Anything blocking underwriting today?”

FAQ

Is a lower rate always worth it? No. If your horizon is short, points won’t break even—credits/liquidity win.Should I roll points into the loan?Only if you must preserve cash and LTV/MI tiers stay favorable—compute the rolled‑in break‑even separately.What’s a “good” break‑even time?Common target: under 24 months, but it must sit well inside your expected holding period.Which fees are negotiable?Lender fees, points, and sometimes third‑party line items. Taxes/recording are mostly fixed.Do multiple quotes hurt my credit?Rate‑shopping in a short window typically scores as one inquiry.What about ARMs?Points buy less if you’ll exit before first adjustment; value the shorter savings window.How do taxes and MI affect the choice?Model after‑tax effects only if meaningful; avoid MI increases from financing points over key LTV tiers.Is “no‑cost refi” really free?No—costs are paid via a higher rate. Capture the credit and run the math.Can I refinance again later?Yes, but serial refinances can erode gains via repeated costs; keep documentation to evaluate future offers quickly.What documents should I prepare?Government ID, paystubs/W‑2 or 1099, bank/asset statements, insurance, payoff statement for current loan.

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